Research Update

Citation Graph

📘 Monte Carlo Risk Overlay

May 2025

Dynamic hedge framework blending GARCH and Monte Carlo simulations with volatility surface shifts.

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📊 Financed Emissions Uncertainty

April 2025

EEIO-based Scope 3 modeling with Monte Carlo bands and sectoral CPI-normalized trajectories.

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🔍 Bermudan Swaption Hedging

March 2025

LSM-based pricing with DV01/Vega overlays using QuantLib and comparative G2++ vs Hull-White stress tests.

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📉 CDS Pricing via Structural Models

February 2025

CDS valuation via Merton-style firm value simulations linked to macro-default probabilities.

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🧮 t-Copula Default Basket Swaps

January 2025

t-Copula pricing for kth-to-default swaps with antithetic variates and dynamic threshold analytics.

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🌍 Scope 1–3 Monte Carlo Engine

Dec 2024

Unified simulator using hybrid LCA and EEIO methods with volatility overlays across sectors.

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🏦 Advanced IRRBB Analytics

Nov 2024

Basel-compliant IRRBB models capturing basis, repricing, and optionality effects.

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🤖 Reinforcement Learning in Algo Trading

Oct 2024

Adaptive market making with Q-learning and policy gradient techniques under variable liquidity.

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⚡ Stress Testing & Macro Scenario Overlay

October 2024

Framework for overlaying macroeconomic shocks on portfolio-level exposures using regime-switching VARs and scenario trees to assess systemic risk amplification.

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📡 Kalman Filter Yield Curve Estimation

September 2024

Latent factor modeling of the term structure using Kalman filters, integrating noise from market liquidity and central bank signaling for forward rate extraction.

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📈 Proxy Hedge Backtesting Framework

August 2024

Design of a proxy hedging model for illiquid assets using liquid instruments, with historical stress period validation and cost-efficiency scoring.

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🔄 LSM-Based Bermudan Swaption Hedging

June 2024

Longstaff-Schwartz Monte Carlo model with regression-based continuation value estimation to price and hedge Bermudan swaptions under volatility smiles.

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📉 G2++ vs Hull-White Model Comparison

May 2024

Calibration and pricing comparison of G2++ and Hull-White models using swaptions and callable structures; includes PCA factor analysis for curve risk.

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📊 Credit Loss Forecasting under Stress

April 2024

IFRS 9-compliant credit loss engine with term structure overlays, macroeconomic variable regression, and forward-looking PD estimation using ML models.

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🧮 Copula-Based Basket Default Modeling

February 2024

Implementation of Gaussian and t-copula models for kth-to-default pricing with antithetic variates, recovery-rate uncertainty, and Monte Carlo simulation.

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💡 CDS Term Structure via Structural Models

January 2024

Merton model calibration to market CDS spreads with firm value dynamics, default barrier estimation, and term-structure aligned survival probability curves.

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🔧 VBA to Python: Bermudan Swaption Greeks

December 2023

Converted VBA models into QuantLib-Python framework for efficient computation of DV01 and Vega of callable Bermudan swaptions under dynamic yield curves.

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📈 Monte Carlo GHG Emissions Dashboard

November 2023

End-to-end dashboard integrating Input-Output models, sector-based emission intensities, and Monte Carlo simulation for Scope 1–3 GHG emissions tracking.

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💹 Macro-Hedging Simulator for Derivatives

August 2023

Hedge payoff simulator integrating macroeconomic scenario paths, Monte Carlo overlays, and Greeks analysis to evaluate hedge effectiveness and tail risks.

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🔍 CDS Pricing via Structural Credit Models

May 2023

Integrated Merton and reduced-form credit risk frameworks for CDS spread pricing and term structure calibration using historical defaults and asset volatilities.

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📊 Interactive CVA VaR Surface Simulator

March 2023

Monte Carlo tool to simulate CVA exposure profiles under correlated interest and credit spread shocks, with dynamic VaR/CVaR heatmaps and XVA adjustments.

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📉 G2++ vs Hull-White Bermudan Calibration

February 2023

Compared swaption prices and sensitivities under calibrated G2++ and Hull-White one-factor models using market swaptions and volatility term structures.

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📦 t-Copula Basket CDS Pricing Engine

January 2023

Python implementation of t-copula-based kth-to-default pricing for correlated credit baskets using antithetic variates and historical calibration of copula parameters.

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